goose Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 Does anyone on here honestly NOT have a busted bracket, already?Mine isn't too bad. I've lost 5 games but other than Duke, no one in the Sweet Sixteen...I did have Duke going to the Elite 8. Can't afford to lose Kansas though.The billion-dollar perfect bracket challenge didn't even survive the first round. 8.7 million brackets, and not one made it past Friday. The pick distribution showed 97.6 percent thought Duke's Blue Devils would shut down the Mercer Bears. But even after a single game on the NCAA March Madness tournament's first day, almost 84 percent of participants were already knocked out when Dayton upset Ohio State.Even if someone was among the 16.1 percent who correctly picked Dayton in Thursday's game AND the 1.9 percent who picked Mercer in today's, they still weren't in the clear -- because any other wrong pick in the early games would have wrecked their chance at a perfect bracket right out of the gate.That happened when the three remaining players with perfect brackets got wiped out after ninth-seeded George Washington beat Memphis. This means it took just 25 games for everyone to be eliminated. It's been a great tournament so far! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goose Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 Does anyone on here honestly NOT have a busted bracket, already? Mine is still alright, all my sweet sixteen teams still aliveImpressive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tx_rush Posted March 22, 2014 Share Posted March 22, 2014 Does anyone on here honestly NOT have a busted bracket, already? Mine is still alright, all my sweet sixteen teams still aliveImpressive! yeah, no busters, but I think by the end my bracket will not be great. Syracuse going to final four instead of FL. If I was betting money head to head on which team is more likely, id pick FL, but of course you have to differentiate a bit to make any noise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aikenrooster Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 See ya, Syracuse! Dayton maybe this year's Cinderella. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laughedatbytime Posted March 23, 2014 Author Share Posted March 23, 2014 Not sad to see Boeheim go... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
softfilter Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Gives me a little satisfaction seeing the Flyers upend Syracuse..That will teach them putting the Orangemen on the cover of SI.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue J Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Gives me a little satisfaction seeing the Flyers upend Syracuse..That will teach them putting the Orangemen on the cover of SI.. Indeed...how about those UD Flyers? :) People are going nuts around here (in my beloved city, I mean). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Principled Man Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 laughedatbytime, you must be neck-deep in joy and jubilation right now..... ;) ;) http://donengler.com/assets/images/db_images/db_UNIVERSITY_OF_KENTUCKY_WILDCATS2.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laughedatbytime Posted March 23, 2014 Author Share Posted March 23, 2014 laughedatbytime, you must be neck-deep in joy and jubilation right now..... ;) ;) http://donengler.com/assets/images/db_images/db_UNIVERSITY_OF_KENTUCKY_WILDCATS2.jpgCheck out my new logo/avatar/icon (for the next five days at least). At least we can root for Bucky together...this UW team is different, and not painful to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick N. Backer Posted March 23, 2014 Share Posted March 23, 2014 Does anyone on here honestly NOT have a busted bracket, already?Mine isn't too bad. I've lost 5 games but other than Duke, no one in the Sweet Sixteen...I did have Duke going to the Elite 8. Can't afford to lose Kansas though. F*cking Kentucky. That's the ball game for me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goose Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 'Zona looking tough at this point. Gonzaga was simply outmatched. Three Pac-12 teams still in it. :dweez: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PumpkinHead Posted March 24, 2014 Share Posted March 24, 2014 Nice win UK Wildcats! Beat Louisville.... :ebert: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laughedatbytime Posted March 25, 2014 Author Share Posted March 25, 2014 (edited) Vonleh gone to the draft (where he'll probably average 2.1 pts in 4.8 garbage time minutes) Hollowell and Etherington transferring. Sounds like addition by subtraction to me. ETA; Johnny Marlin too... Edited March 25, 2014 by laughedatbytime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goose Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 (edited) laughedatbytime, you must be neck-deep in joy and jubilation right now..... ;) ;) http://donengler.com/assets/images/db_images/db_UNIVERSITY_OF_KENTUCKY_WILDCATS2.jpghttp://content.sportslogos.net/logos/30/603/full/7298.png Final Four? Edited March 25, 2014 by goose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goose Posted March 26, 2014 Share Posted March 26, 2014 Betting lines for Sweet Sixteen: My pics Florida -4.5 over UCLAStanford -3 over DaytonWisconsin -3.5 over BaylorArizona -7 over San Diego StateIowa st -2 over UConnMichigan St -2 over Virginia Michigan -2.5 over TennesseeLouisville -5 over Kentucky. Upset City! (with the points) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laughedatbytime Posted March 27, 2014 Author Share Posted March 27, 2014 Sorry about the format but these are the probabilities for the rest of the tournament, using up to date Sagarin pure points ratings and an sd of 8. The first number is the probabiity to get to the elite eight the second to get to the final four the third to the championship game, the fourth the odds of winning it all, the fifth the Sagarin rating, and the sixth is the odds against winning it all... Virginia 53.2% 32.7% 16.6% 6.4% 90.59 15.51 Iowa State 58.4% 25.3% 10.9% 3.5% 88.95 28.97 Michigan State 46.8% 27.3% 13.0% 4.7% 89.94 21.40 UConn 41.6% 14.7% 5.2% 1.3% 87.26 76.99 Florida 67.7% 58.1% 38.1% 18.7% 92.75 5.35 UCLA 32.3% 23.7% 11.3% 3.6% 89.08 27.46 Stanford 62.6% 13.2% 3.8% 0.7% 85.01 153.10 Dayton 37.4% 5.0% 0.9% 0.1% 82.44 1,013.66 Michigan 50.0% 16.7% 6.4% 2.9% 89.74 34.05 Louisville 77.5% 56.6% 34.6% 23.9% 94.65 4.19 Lexington-NBDL 22.5% 10.0% 3.3% 1.3% 88.61 74.18 Tennessee 50.0% 16.7% 6.4% 2.9% 89.74 34.05 Arizona 81.0% 56.4% 32.8% 22.0% 94.18 4.54 Wisconsin 64.9% 26.8% 11.7% 6.2% 91.08 16.21 San Diego State 19.0% 6.9% 1.8% 0.6% 87.16 159.03 Baylor 35.1% 9.9% 3.0% 1.1% 88.02 88.19 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goose Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 SDSU giving 'Zona a hard time. UCLA keeping it close with Florida. Couple of great games here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laughedatbytime Posted March 28, 2014 Author Share Posted March 28, 2014 SDSU giving 'Zona a hard time. UCLA keeping it close with Florida. Couple of great games here!Everything the first games weren't. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goose Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 Betting lines for Sweet Sixteen: My pics Florida -4.5 over UCLAStanford -3 over DaytonWisconsin -3.5 over BaylorArizona -7 over San Diego State Well, got 3 of 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue J Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 People are still going nuts here in Dayton. :) Would it be too far-fetched to think of Archie Miller's team and Sean Miller's team squaring off against one another? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laughedatbytime Posted March 28, 2014 Author Share Posted March 28, 2014 People are still going nuts here in Dayton. :) Would it be too far-fetched to think of Archie Miller's team and Sean Miller's team squaring off against one another?It would have to be in the Finals. Right now, using the method detailed above, there's a 0.8% chance of it happening, about 1 in 126. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue J Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 People are still going nuts here in Dayton. :) Would it be too far-fetched to think of Archie Miller's team and Sean Miller's team squaring off against one another?It would have to be in the Finals. Right now, using the method detailed above, there's a 0.8% chance of it happening, about 1 in 126. Yeah, I thought it would be in the final game, and not before then. Not likely. But it's an interesting musing, anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goose Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 People are still going nuts here in Dayton. :) Would it be too far-fetched to think of Archie Miller's team and Sean Miller's team squaring off against one another?It would have to be in the Finals. Right now, using the method detailed above, there's a 0.8% chance of it happening, about 1 in 126. Yeah, I thought it would be in the final game, and not before then. Not likely. But it's an interesting musing, anyway.Lexington-NBDL 22.5% 10.0% 3.3% 1.3% 88.61 74.18 Just caught that! :clap: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laughedatbytime Posted March 28, 2014 Author Share Posted March 28, 2014 People are still going nuts here in Dayton. :) Would it be too far-fetched to think of Archie Miller's team and Sean Miller's team squaring off against one another?It would have to be in the Finals. Right now, using the method detailed above, there's a 0.8% chance of it happening, about 1 in 126. Yeah, I thought it would be in the final game, and not before then. Not likely. But it's an interesting musing, anyway.Lexington-NBDL 22.5% 10.0% 3.3% 1.3% 88.61 74.18 Just caught that! :clap:Hey, they're a self described non traditional program; they might as well be described in a non traditional way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goose Posted March 28, 2014 Share Posted March 28, 2014 People are still going nuts here in Dayton. :) Would it be too far-fetched to think of Archie Miller's team and Sean Miller's team squaring off against one another?It would have to be in the Finals. Right now, using the method detailed above, there's a 0.8% chance of it happening, about 1 in 126. Yeah, I thought it would be in the final game, and not before then. Not likely. But it's an interesting musing, anyway.Lexington-NBDL 22.5% 10.0% 3.3% 1.3% 88.61 74.18 Just caught that! :clap:Hey, they're a self described non traditional program; they might as well be described in a non traditional way.Can't wait for them to get unionized! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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