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The 2020 NFL thread...14 teams in the playoffs? A 17 game regular season? wtf???


laughedatbytime
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They don't call a f*cking thing all day, and then they call THAT.

 

It was too blatant and obvious to not call. But there were plenty of others that seemed to be pretty obvious too that they didn't call for who know what reasons.

Because the NFL wants to see Brady in the Super Bowl?

The question mark is superfluous.

 

You're sounding very butthurt tonight...

 

As for missed calls, they were quite even. Sure there was the missed PI on Lazard, but there was a false start missed the play before, as well as a hold at the beginning of that drive.

 

Brady was fantastic in the first half. 2 of the pics weren't all his fault. His damn receivers need to catch the ball.

Which 2 of the 3 are you talking about? All three are here and in only one of them could the receiver have been remotely at fault.

 

https://nesn.com/2021/01/watch-tom-brady-throw-interception-on-three-straight-possessions-vs-packers/

Edited by laughedatbytime
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They don't call a f*cking thing all day, and then they call THAT.

 

It was too blatant and obvious to not call. But there were plenty of others that seemed to be pretty obvious too that they didn't call for who know what reasons.

Because the NFL wants to see Brady in the Super Bowl?

The question mark is superfluous.

 

You're sounding very butthurt tonight...

 

As for missed calls, they were quite even. Sure there was the missed PI on Lazard, but there was a false start missed the play before, as well as a hold at the beginning of that drive.

 

Brady was fantastic in the first half. 2 of the pics weren't all his fault. His damn receivers need to catch the ball.

Which 2 of the 3 are you talking about? All three are here and in only one of them could the receiver have been remotely at fault.

 

https://nesn.com/2021/01/watch-tom-brady-throw-interception-on-three-straight-possessions-vs-packers/

 

Before one of the the pics a wide open receiver dropped a pass that hit him in the numbers.

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Romo, better at math than logic.

Listening to he and Gray is SO much better than Buck and especially Aikman.

You mean Nantz? I completely agree. But Buffalo would have to convert 2 of 3 2 pt conversions no matter the order they were attempted.

 

Romo has been off all season. There have been rumors that he basically cashed in, and Nantz wasn't too pleased with Romo's contract. which has created tension. His deal is due and he wants more. He made CBS give Romo the week of when he called the Masters.

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They don't call a f*cking thing all day, and then they call THAT.

 

It was too blatant and obvious to not call. But there were plenty of others that seemed to be pretty obvious too that they didn't call for who know what reasons.

Because the NFL wants to see Brady in the Super Bowl?

The question mark is superfluous.

 

You're sounding very butthurt tonight...

 

As for missed calls, they were quite even. Sure there was the missed PI on Lazard, but there was a false start missed the play before, as well as a hold at the beginning of that drive.

 

Brady was fantastic in the first half. 2 of the pics weren't all his fault. His damn receivers need to catch the ball.

Which 2 of the 3 are you talking about? All three are here and in only one of them could the receiver have been remotely at fault.

 

https://nesn.com/202...ons-vs-packers/

 

Before one of the the pics a wide open receiver dropped a pass that hit him in the numbers.

If we're playing that game then before the TD to end the half the Packers DB dropped a balloon ball for a 4th INT.

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They don't call a f*cking thing all day, and then they call THAT.

 

It was too blatant and obvious to not call. But there were plenty of others that seemed to be pretty obvious too that they didn't call for who know what reasons.

Because the NFL wants to see Brady in the Super Bowl?

The question mark is superfluous.

 

You're sounding very butthurt tonight...

 

As for missed calls, they were quite even. Sure there was the missed PI on Lazard, but there was a false start missed the play before, as well as a hold at the beginning of that drive.

 

Brady was fantastic in the first half. 2 of the pics weren't all his fault. His damn receivers need to catch the ball.

Which 2 of the 3 are you talking about? All three are here and in only one of them could the receiver have been remotely at fault.

 

https://nesn.com/202...ons-vs-packers/

 

Before one of the the pics a wide open receiver dropped a pass that hit him in the numbers.

If we're playing that game then before the TD to end the half the Packers DB dropped a balloon ball for a 4th INT.

 

So what is the end game here? Are you just trying to make yourself feel better? I don't particularly care one way or the other. Brady played very well in the 1st half, not so well in the 2nd half. But he is entirely the reason that team made the Super Bowl this year. They were 7 and 9 last year. All the talk on sports radio up here was about how badly Brady misplayed his hand and got stuck with the Buccaneers. About how Bill really stuck it to him. Now Bill loyalists are calling in crying that Brady didn't do a thing, that anyone would have done what he did with those weapons. Thankfully the hosts are smacking them down.

Edited by edhunter
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They don't call a f*cking thing all day, and then they call THAT.

 

It was too blatant and obvious to not call. But there were plenty of others that seemed to be pretty obvious too that they didn't call for who know what reasons.

Because the NFL wants to see Brady in the Super Bowl?

The question mark is superfluous.

 

You're sounding very butthurt tonight...

 

As for missed calls, they were quite even. Sure there was the missed PI on Lazard, but there was a false start missed the play before, as well as a hold at the beginning of that drive.

 

Brady was fantastic in the first half. 2 of the pics weren't all his fault. His damn receivers need to catch the ball.

Which 2 of the 3 are you talking about? All three are here and in only one of them could the receiver have been remotely at fault.

 

https://nesn.com/202...ons-vs-packers/

 

Before one of the the pics a wide open receiver dropped a pass that hit him in the numbers.

If we're playing that game then before the TD to end the half the Packers DB dropped a balloon ball for a 4th INT.

 

So what is the end game here? Are you just trying to make yourself feel better? I don't particularly care one way or the other. Bradyed play very well in the 1st half, not so well in the 2nd half. But he is entirely the reason that team made the Super Bowl this year. They were 7 and 9 last year. All the talk on sports radio up here was about how badly Brady misplayed his hand and got stuck with the Buccaneers. About how Bill really stuck it to him. Now Bill loyalists are calling in crying that Brady didn't do a thing, that anyone would have done what he did with those weapons. Thankfully the hosts are smacking them down.

 

LABT, you know you're one of my favorite posters. But c'mon man. It's OK to say, "You know, I personally hate Brady, but he's had a pretty impressive career and taking the Bucs to the Super Bowl this year was quite an accomplishment." Or any words to that effect.

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They don't call a f*cking thing all day, and then they call THAT.

 

It was too blatant and obvious to not call. But there were plenty of others that seemed to be pretty obvious too that they didn't call for who know what reasons.

Because the NFL wants to see Brady in the Super Bowl?

The question mark is superfluous.

 

You're sounding very butthurt tonight...

 

As for missed calls, they were quite even. Sure there was the missed PI on Lazard, but there was a false start missed the play before, as well as a hold at the beginning of that drive.

 

Brady was fantastic in the first half. 2 of the pics weren't all his fault. His damn receivers need to catch the ball.

Which 2 of the 3 are you talking about? All three are here and in only one of them could the receiver have been remotely at fault.

 

https://nesn.com/202...ons-vs-packers/

 

Before one of the the pics a wide open receiver dropped a pass that hit him in the numbers.

If we're playing that game then before the TD to end the half the Packers DB dropped a balloon ball for a 4th INT.

 

So what is the end game here? Are you just trying to make yourself feel better? I don't particularly care one way or the other. Brady played very well in the 1st half, not so well in the 2nd half. But he is entirely the reason that team made the Super Bowl this year. They were 7 and 9 last year. All the talk on sports radio up here was about how badly Brady misplayed his hand and got stuck with the Buccaneers. About how Bill really stuck it to him. Now Bill loyalists are calling in crying that Brady didn't do a thing, that anyone would have done what he did with those weapons. Thankfully the hosts are smacking them down.

 

I support the Patriots deciding that they needed to rebuild the team, and a then-42 year old QB wasn't the way to do that. But they had no back up plan. Brady would have been better than Newton, but the Patriots this year with Brady would not have beaten this Chiefs team in the playoffs. The offense around Brady wouldn't have been good enough. But Brady is the difference between last year's and this year's Bucs.

 

If the Bills were in the SB I would be rooting for them. Now I'm hoping Tom gets number 7.

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They don't call a f*cking thing all day, and then they call THAT.

 

It was too blatant and obvious to not call. But there were plenty of others that seemed to be pretty obvious too that they didn't call for who know what reasons.

Because the NFL wants to see Brady in the Super Bowl?

The question mark is superfluous.

 

You're sounding very butthurt tonight...

 

As for missed calls, they were quite even. Sure there was the missed PI on Lazard, but there was a false start missed the play before, as well as a hold at the beginning of that drive.

 

Brady was fantastic in the first half. 2 of the pics weren't all his fault. His damn receivers need to catch the ball.

Which 2 of the 3 are you talking about? All three are here and in only one of them could the receiver have been remotely at fault.

 

https://nesn.com/202...ons-vs-packers/

 

Before one of the the pics a wide open receiver dropped a pass that hit him in the numbers.

If we're playing that game then before the TD to end the half the Packers DB dropped a balloon ball for a 4th INT.

 

So what is the end game here? Are you just trying to make yourself feel better? I don't particularly care one way or the other. Brady played very well in the 1st half, not so well in the 2nd half. But he is entirely the reason that team made the Super Bowl this year. They were 7 and 9 last year. All the talk on sports radio up here was about how badly Brady misplayed his hand and got stuck with the Buccaneers. About how Bill really stuck it to him. Now Bill loyalists are calling in crying that Brady didn't do a thing, that anyone would have done what he did with those weapons. Thankfully the hosts are smacking them down.

First of all, you made a claim that was entirely untrue about the interceptions, which needed to be corrected.

 

Secondly, while you could argue that Brady was the reason the Bucs were in the NFC championship game, he's not the reason they won yesterday. He was atrocious in the second half and if he hadn't gotten bailed out by Godwin on a 50-50 ball and a dropped interception on a horrible pass right before tge half he would have been 10-19 for 105 and a TD and an int in the first half, which would have been Eli-like.

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They don't call a f*cking thing all day, and then they call THAT.

 

It was too blatant and obvious to not call. But there were plenty of others that seemed to be pretty obvious too that they didn't call for who know what reasons.

Because the NFL wants to see Brady in the Super Bowl?

The question mark is superfluous.

 

You're sounding very butthurt tonight...

 

As for missed calls, they were quite even. Sure there was the missed PI on Lazard, but there was a false start missed the play before, as well as a hold at the beginning of that drive.

 

Brady was fantastic in the first half. 2 of the pics weren't all his fault. His damn receivers need to catch the ball.

Which 2 of the 3 are you talking about? All three are here and in only one of them could the receiver have been remotely at fault.

 

https://nesn.com/202...ons-vs-packers/

 

Before one of the the pics a wide open receiver dropped a pass that hit him in the numbers.

If we're playing that game then before the TD to end the half the Packers DB dropped a balloon ball for a 4th INT.

 

So what is the end game here? Are you just trying to make yourself feel better? I don't particularly care one way or the other. Brady played very well in the 1st half, not so well in the 2nd half. But he is entirely the reason that team made the Super Bowl this year. They were 7 and 9 last year. All the talk on sports radio up here was about how badly Brady misplayed his hand and got stuck with the Buccaneers. About how Bill really stuck it to him. Now Bill loyalists are calling in crying that Brady didn't do a thing, that anyone would have done what he did with those weapons. Thankfully the hosts are smacking them down.

First of all, you made a claim that was entirely untrue about the interceptions, which needed to be corrected.

 

Secondly, while you could argue that Brady was the reason the Bucs were in the NFC championship game, he's not the reason they won yesterday. He was atrocious in the second half and if he hadn't gotten bailed out by Godwin on a 50-50 ball and a dropped interception on a horrible pass right before tge half he would have been 10-19 for 105 and a TD and an int in the first half, which would have been Eli-like.

 

So you are just trying to make yourself feel better. Thanks.

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They don't call a f*cking thing all day, and then they call THAT.

 

It was too blatant and obvious to not call. But there were plenty of others that seemed to be pretty obvious too that they didn't call for who know what reasons.

Because the NFL wants to see Brady in the Super Bowl?

The question mark is superfluous.

 

You're sounding very butthurt tonight...

 

As for missed calls, they were quite even. Sure there was the missed PI on Lazard, but there was a false start missed the play before, as well as a hold at the beginning of that drive.

 

Brady was fantastic in the first half. 2 of the pics weren't all his fault. His damn receivers need to catch the ball.

Which 2 of the 3 are you talking about? All three are here and in only one of them could the receiver have been remotely at fault.

 

https://nesn.com/202...ons-vs-packers/

 

Before one of the the pics a wide open receiver dropped a pass that hit him in the numbers.

If we're playing that game then before the TD to end the half the Packers DB dropped a balloon ball for a 4th INT.

 

So what is the end game here? Are you just trying to make yourself feel better? I don't particularly care one way or the other. Bradyed play very well in the 1st half, not so well in the 2nd half. But he is entirely the reason that team made the Super Bowl this year. They were 7 and 9 last year. All the talk on sports radio up here was about how badly Brady misplayed his hand and got stuck with the Buccaneers. About how Bill really stuck it to him. Now Bill loyalists are calling in crying that Brady didn't do a thing, that anyone would have done what he did with those weapons. Thankfully the hosts are smacking them down.

 

LABT, you know you're one of my favorite posters. But c'mon man. It's OK to say, "You know, I personally hate Brady, but he's had a pretty impressive career and taking the Bucs to the Super Bowl this year was quite an accomplishment." Or any words to that effect.

How about this...

 

I personally don't hate Brady, he's got his issues but he seems to be a decent guy (though I don't know if Bridget Monahan would agree.). I do think a sycophantic press, along with the fact that there are some dubious things that went on with the Patriots have made me root hard against him. He has had an impressive career, but the NFC is horseshit this year and they beat a 7-9 team and a team with a QB who couldn't throw downfield in the playoffs before yesterday (he did play well in those games...it would have been interesting to see if Jameis would have been able to win for the Saints). Yesterday, he was pretty bad overall, but the team was good enough to give him short fields and the Packers blew some chances, so they won.

 

If they beat the Chiefs due to his play it will be a significant accomplishment but this will likely require his best super bowl performance yet, it's not like he's facing Nick Foles or Eli Manning or something.

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They don't call a f*cking thing all day, and then they call THAT.

 

It was too blatant and obvious to not call. But there were plenty of others that seemed to be pretty obvious too that they didn't call for who know what reasons.

Because the NFL wants to see Brady in the Super Bowl?

The question mark is superfluous.

 

You're sounding very butthurt tonight...

 

As for missed calls, they were quite even. Sure there was the missed PI on Lazard, but there was a false start missed the play before, as well as a hold at the beginning of that drive.

 

Brady was fantastic in the first half. 2 of the pics weren't all his fault. His damn receivers need to catch the ball.

Which 2 of the 3 are you talking about? All three are here and in only one of them could the receiver have been remotely at fault.

 

https://nesn.com/202...ons-vs-packers/

 

Before one of the the pics a wide open receiver dropped a pass that hit him in the numbers.

If we're playing that game then before the TD to end the half the Packers DB dropped a balloon ball for a 4th INT.

 

So what is the end game here? Are you just trying to make yourself feel better? I don't particularly care one way or the other. Brady played very well in the 1st half, not so well in the 2nd half. But he is entirely the reason that team made the Super Bowl this year. They were 7 and 9 last year. All the talk on sports radio up here was about how badly Brady misplayed his hand and got stuck with the Buccaneers. About how Bill really stuck it to him. Now Bill loyalists are calling in crying that Brady didn't do a thing, that anyone would have done what he did with those weapons. Thankfully the hosts are smacking them down.

First of all, you made a claim that was entirely untrue about the interceptions, which needed to be corrected.

 

Secondly, while you could argue that Brady was the reason the Bucs were in the NFC championship game, he's not the reason they won yesterday. He was atrocious in the second half and if he hadn't gotten bailed out by Godwin on a 50-50 ball and a dropped interception on a horrible pass right before tge half he would have been 10-19 for 105 and a TD and an int in the first half, which would have been Eli-like.

 

So you are just trying to make yourself feel better. Thanks.

If you say so.

Edited by laughedatbytime
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They don't call a f*cking thing all day, and then they call THAT.

 

It was too blatant and obvious to not call. But there were plenty of others that seemed to be pretty obvious too that they didn't call for who know what reasons.

Because the NFL wants to see Brady in the Super Bowl?

The question mark is superfluous.

 

You're sounding very butthurt tonight...

 

As for missed calls, they were quite even. Sure there was the missed PI on Lazard, but there was a false start missed the play before, as well as a hold at the beginning of that drive.

 

Brady was fantastic in the first half. 2 of the pics weren't all his fault. His damn receivers need to catch the ball.

Which 2 of the 3 are you talking about? All three are here and in only one of them could the receiver have been remotely at fault.

 

https://nesn.com/202...ons-vs-packers/

 

Before one of the the pics a wide open receiver dropped a pass that hit him in the numbers.

If we're playing that game then before the TD to end the half the Packers DB dropped a balloon ball for a 4th INT.

 

So what is the end game here? Are you just trying to make yourself feel better? I don't particularly care one way or the other. Bradyed play very well in the 1st half, not so well in the 2nd half. But he is entirely the reason that team made the Super Bowl this year. They were 7 and 9 last year. All the talk on sports radio up here was about how badly Brady misplayed his hand and got stuck with the Buccaneers. About how Bill really stuck it to him. Now Bill loyalists are calling in crying that Brady didn't do a thing, that anyone would have done what he did with those weapons. Thankfully the hosts are smacking them down.

 

LABT, you know you're one of my favorite posters. But c'mon man. It's OK to say, "You know, I personally hate Brady, but he's had a pretty impressive career and taking the Bucs to the Super Bowl this year was quite an accomplishment." Or any words to that effect.

How about this...

 

I personally don't hate Brady, he's got his issues but he seems to be a decent guy (though I don't know if Bridget Monahan would agree.). I do think a sycophantic press, along with the fact that there are some dubious things that went on with the Patriots have made me root hard against him. He has had an impressive career, but the NFC is horseshit this year and they beat a 7-9 team and a team with a QB who couldn't throw downfield in the playoffs before yesterday (he did play well in those games...it would have been interesting to see if Jameis would have been able to win for the Saints). Yesterday, he was pretty bad overall, but the team was good enough to give him short fields and the Packers blew some chances, so they won.

 

If they beat the Chiefs due to his play it will be a significant accomplishment but this will likely require his best super bowl performance yet, it's not like he's facing Nick Foles or Eli Manning or something.

 

Notably, in both Giants Super Bowl losses he left the field late with a lead. The defenses let those teams down when they needed them. Against the Eagles he himself had a fair enough game (500+ yards passing, 3 TDs, 0 Ints).

 

The Bucs won 3 road games. They beat 3 division winners, including the Saints at the dome and GB at Lambeau. He won't need to have his best performance in his 10th Super Bowl. He will need a lot of help from his defense though.

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I can't root for the Chiefs. This is Mahomes' second time in the Super Bowl in 2 years. Enough already. The Bucs haven't been there since after the 2002 season. Let's spread the wealth. ;)

 

Ah, sarcasm . . . . I get it!

 

Let's start spreading the wealth next year, when the Cowboys are back!

 

For now, Let's Go Chiefs!

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They don't call a f*cking thing all day, and then they call THAT.

 

It was too blatant and obvious to not call. But there were plenty of others that seemed to be pretty obvious too that they didn't call for who know what reasons.

Because the NFL wants to see Brady in the Super Bowl?

The question mark is superfluous.

 

You're sounding very butthurt tonight...

 

As for missed calls, they were quite even. Sure there was the missed PI on Lazard, but there was a false start missed the play before, as well as a hold at the beginning of that drive.

 

Brady was fantastic in the first half. 2 of the pics weren't all his fault. His damn receivers need to catch the ball.

Which 2 of the 3 are you talking about? All three are here and in only one of them could the receiver have been remotely at fault.

 

https://nesn.com/202...ons-vs-packers/

 

Before one of the the pics a wide open receiver dropped a pass that hit him in the numbers.

If we're playing that game then before the TD to end the half the Packers DB dropped a balloon ball for a 4th INT.

 

So what is the end game here? Are you just trying to make yourself feel better? I don't particularly care one way or the other. Brady played very well in the 1st half, not so well in the 2nd half. But he is entirely the reason that team made the Super Bowl this year. They were 7 and 9 last year. All the talk on sports radio up here was about how badly Brady misplayed his hand and got stuck with the Buccaneers. About how Bill really stuck it to him. Now Bill loyalists are calling in crying that Brady didn't do a thing, that anyone would have done what he did with those weapons. Thankfully the hosts are smacking them down.

Right, Brady didn't do a thing. Hey how did that Newton feller work out this year?
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Kicking a fg on 4th down with 2 mins left when you have the top red zone offense in the league and need a TD (like Green Bay yesterday) is like passing the ball from the 1 when you have one of the best goal line RBs in the league.

 

Pete Carroll!!

Edited by driventotheedge
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Kicking a fg on 4th down with 2 mins left when you have the top red zone offense in the league and need a TD (like Green Bay yesterday) is like passing the ball from the 1 when you have one of the best goal line RBs in the league.

 

Pete Carroll!!

and on the preceding 3rd down play Rogers had an open field, could have waltzed in, or got close enough, wtf? The mouthpieces today are saying Rogers possibly thought he was going to have the ball in his hands for four downs.
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Kicking a fg on 4th down with 2 mins left when you have the top red zone offense in the league and need a TD (like Green Bay yesterday) is like passing the ball from the 1 when you have one of the best goal line RBs in the league.

 

Pete Carroll!!

and on the preceding 3rd down play Rogers had an open field, could have waltzed in, or got close enough, wtf? The mouthpieces today are saying Rogers possibly thought he was going to have the ball in his hands for four downs.

If he would have taken off and not made it, they definitely would have gone for it; the worst he could have done was taken it to the two.

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So the main difference in the game was Tampa Bay gave their star a chance to do something special from near midfield at the end of the 1st half, and Green Bay didn't with a 1st and goal at the end of the game.

I don't think the decision to go for it was that cut and dried. Let's say you had the following probabilities:

 

40% chance of scoring the TD

50% chance of the two point conversion

100% chance of making the FG

50% chance of keeping the Bucs from running out the clock

50% of keeping the Bucs from scoring with the game tied

60% chance of the Packers kicking a game winning FG

30% chance of the Packers scoring a TD to tie the game

50% chance for the team winning in OT

 

if these were the actual probabilities, kicking the FG would give you a 15% chance of winning and going for the TD would give you 13.25% chance. (Keep in mind these scenarios don't completely define the universe of things that could happen but come pretty close. With different odds the resukts would be different, if you're interested, please give me your estimates and I can run them through. But it's not a no brainer to go for it unless you find the probabilities to be considerably different.

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So the main difference in the game was Tampa Bay gave their star a chance to do something special from near midfield at the end of the 1st half, and Green Bay didn't with a 1st and goal at the end of the game.

I don't think the decision to go for it was that cut and dried. Let's say you had the following probabilities:

 

40% chance of scoring the TD

50% chance of the two point conversion

100% chance of making the FG

50% chance of keeping the Bucs from running out the clock

50% of keeping the Bucs from scoring with the game tied

60% chance of the Packers kicking a game winning FG

30% chance of the Packers scoring a TD to tie the game

50% chance for the team winning in OT

 

if these were the actual probabilities, kicking the FG would give you a 15% chance of winning and going for the TD would give you 13.25% chance. (Keep in mind these scenarios don't completely define the universe of things that could happen but come pretty close. With different odds the resukts would be different, if you're interested, please give me your estimates and I can run them through. But it's not a no brainer to go for it unless you find the probabilities to be considerably different.

 

I don't have a clue about any statistical probabilities. I just know Aaron Rodgers is the league MVP this year and had a first and goal from the 8. You let your star take the reins at that point.

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So the main difference in the game was Tampa Bay gave their star a chance to do something special from near midfield at the end of the 1st half, and Green Bay didn't with a 1st and goal at the end of the game.

I don't think the decision to go for it was that cut and dried. Let's say you had the following probabilities:

 

40% chance of scoring the TD

50% chance of the two point conversion

100% chance of making the FG

50% chance of keeping the Bucs from running out the clock

50% of keeping the Bucs from scoring with the game tied

60% chance of the Packers kicking a game winning FG

30% chance of the Packers scoring a TD to tie the game

50% chance for the team winning in OT

 

if these were the actual probabilities, kicking the FG would give you a 15% chance of winning and going for the TD would give you 13.25% chance. (Keep in mind these scenarios don't completely define the universe of things that could happen but come pretty close. With different odds the resukts would be different, if you're interested, please give me your estimates and I can run them through. But it's not a no brainer to go for it unless you find the probabilities to be considerably different.

 

I don't have a clue about any statistical probabilities. I just know Aaron Rodgers is the league MVP this year and had a first and goal from the 8. You let your star take the reins at that point.

WWMATMDD, huh?

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So the main difference in the game was Tampa Bay gave their star a chance to do something special from near midfield at the end of the 1st half, and Green Bay didn't with a 1st and goal at the end of the game.

I don't think the decision to go for it was that cut and dried. Let's say you had the following probabilities:

 

40% chance of scoring the TD

50% chance of the two point conversion

100% chance of making the FG

50% chance of keeping the Bucs from running out the clock

50% of keeping the Bucs from scoring with the game tied

60% chance of the Packers kicking a game winning FG

30% chance of the Packers scoring a TD to tie the game

50% chance for the team winning in OT

 

if these were the actual probabilities, kicking the FG would give you a 15% chance of winning and going for the TD would give you 13.25% chance. (Keep in mind these scenarios don't completely define the universe of things that could happen but come pretty close. With different odds the resukts would be different, if you're interested, please give me your estimates and I can run them through. But it's not a no brainer to go for it unless you find the probabilities to be considerably different.

 

I don't have a clue about any statistical probabilities. I just know Aaron Rodgers is the league MVP this year and had a first and goal from the 8. You let your star take the reins at that point.

WWMATMDD, huh?

 

If that means stop letting stat geeks take over decision making in sports, then yes. It cost Green Bay yesterday. It cost the Rays in the World Series. The games are not played on laptops.

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