The Analog Cub Posted March 8, 2015 Share Posted March 8, 2015 Do you like NCAA basketball? Of course you do. But what better way to enjoy college basketball than a complete bloodbath in one of the most competitive conferences? Lots of ranked teams on the line here :madra: http://www.big12sports.com/ViewArticle.dbml?ATCLID=209534167 GO CYCLONES! :D Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laughedatbytime Posted March 8, 2015 Share Posted March 8, 2015 Here's hoping the Jayhawks won't outlast Hemispheres in the "least glorious to" competition... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laughedatbytime Posted March 8, 2015 Share Posted March 8, 2015 kenpom.com should have their tourney odds out there soon... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Analog Cub Posted March 8, 2015 Author Share Posted March 8, 2015 Maybe we'll get lucky again and have Kansas lose again before ISU gets that far in the bracket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laughedatbytime Posted March 8, 2015 Share Posted March 8, 2015 Just slip Power Windows into their pregame mixtape, so they come out of the locker room mellow. ;) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Analog Cub Posted March 8, 2015 Author Share Posted March 8, 2015 Just slip Caress of Steel into their pregame mixtape, so they come out of the locker room mellowed out. :smoke: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laughedatbytime Posted March 8, 2015 Share Posted March 8, 2015 Just slip Caress of Steel into their pregame mixtape, so they come out of the locker room mellowed out. :smoke:That works too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laughedatbytime Posted March 10, 2015 Share Posted March 10, 2015 kenpom still doesn't have the Big XII tourney odds out yet but here are the odds for the Big Ten to tide you over. Rd1 Qtrs Semis Final Champ 1 Wisconsin 100 100 88.8 72.7 58.5 3 Michigan St. 100 100 55.0 34.5 11.1 5 Iowa 100 80.8 52.3 14.7 8.2 6 Ohio St. 100 72.7 36.7 23.2 7.5 2 Maryland 100 100 64.0 27.4 7.1 4 Purdue 100 100 41.8 7.8 3.2 7 Indiana 100 67.7 27.9 9.7 2.0 8 Illinois 100 63.4 8.3 3.4 1.311 Minnesota 82.7 25.8 8.1 3.6 0.7 9 Michigan 100 36.6 2.9 0.9 0.210 Northwestern 100 32.3 8.1 1.6 0.213 Penn St. 58.4 12.5 4.1 0.5 0.112 Nebraska 41.6 6.7 1.8 0.1 0.0314 Rutgers 17.3 1.5 0.1 0.02 0.001 This is tempo adjusted and looks at the entire season. I did the same thing using conference only records and the mean HC and standard deviation and got... Rd1 Qtrs Semis Final Champ 1 Wisconsin 100 100 83.8 60.9 44.8 3 Michigan St. 100 100 53.4 34.7 13.9 5 Iowa 100 78.0 46.3 17.8 10.2 6 Ohio St. 100 74.5 38.9 26.0 11.0 2 Maryland 100 100 55.0 20.5 5.8 4 Purdue 100 100 47.1 14.3 6.9 7 Indiana 100 64.2 32.1 12.0 3.4 8 Illinois 100 58.7 10.8 4.2 1.711 Minnesota 80.3 23.9 7.6 3.5 0.8 9 Michigan 100 41.3 5.4 1.7 0.510 Northwestern 100 35.8 12.9 3.2 0.613 Penn St. 56.8 13.7 4.4 0.8 0.212 Nebraska 43,2 8.3 2.2 0.3 0.114 Rutgers 19.7 1.6 0.1 0.02 0.002 If you give me the average home margin, standard deviation and net points for all teams I could do the same thing for the Big XII. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Analog Cub Posted March 10, 2015 Author Share Posted March 10, 2015 kenpom still doesn't have the Big XII tourney odds out yet but here are the odds for the Big Ten to tide you over. Rd1 Qtrs Semis Final Champ1 Wisconsin 100 100 88.8 72.7 58.53 Michigan St. 100 100 55.0 34.5 11.15 Iowa 100 80.8 52.3 14.7 8.26 Ohio St. 100 72.7 36.7 23.2 7.52 Maryland 100 100 64.0 27.4 7.14 Purdue 100 100 41.8 7.8 3.27 Indiana 100 67.7 27.9 9.7 2.08 Illinois 100 63.4 8.3 3.4 1.311 Minnesota 82.7 25.8 8.1 3.6 0.79 Michigan 100 36.6 2.9 0.9 0.210 Northwestern 100 32.3 8.1 1.6 0.213 Penn St. 58.4 12.5 4.1 0.5 0.112 Nebraska 41.6 6.7 1.8 0.1 0.0314 Rutgers 17.3 1.5 0.1 0.02 0.001 This is tempo adjusted and looks at the entire season. I did the same thing using conference only records and the mean HC and standard deviation and got... Rd1 Qtrs Semis Final Champ1 Wisconsin 100 100 83.8 60.9 44.83 Michigan St. 100 100 53.4 34.7 13.95 Iowa 100 78.0 46.3 17.8 10.26 Ohio St. 100 74.5 38.9 26.0 11.02 Maryland 100 100 55.0 20.5 5.84 Purdue 100 100 47.1 14.3 6.97 Indiana 100 64.2 32.1 12.0 3.48 Illinois 100 58.7 10.8 4.2 1.711 Minnesota 80.3 23.9 7.6 3.5 0.89 Michigan 100 41.3 5.4 1.7 0.510 Northwestern 100 35.8 12.9 3.2 0.613 Penn St. 56.8 13.7 4.4 0.8 0.212 Nebraska 43,2 8.3 2.2 0.3 0.114 Rutgers 19.7 1.6 0.1 0.02 0.002 If you give me the average home margin, standard deviation and net points for all teams I could do the same thing for the Big XII. First games start on Wednesday so I bet kenpom has it all out tomorrow. No need, but thanks anyway :cheers: If they're not out by late tomorrow night I can get everything to you, but I bet it's done by tomorrow afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laughedatbytime Posted March 10, 2015 Share Posted March 10, 2015 kenpom still doesn't have the Big XII tourney odds out yet but here are the odds for the Big Ten to tide you over. Rd1 Qtrs Semis Final Champ1 Wisconsin 100 100 88.8 72.7 58.53 Michigan St. 100 100 55.0 34.5 11.15 Iowa 100 80.8 52.3 14.7 8.26 Ohio St. 100 72.7 36.7 23.2 7.52 Maryland 100 100 64.0 27.4 7.14 Purdue 100 100 41.8 7.8 3.27 Indiana 100 67.7 27.9 9.7 2.08 Illinois 100 63.4 8.3 3.4 1.311 Minnesota 82.7 25.8 8.1 3.6 0.79 Michigan 100 36.6 2.9 0.9 0.210 Northwestern 100 32.3 8.1 1.6 0.213 Penn St. 58.4 12.5 4.1 0.5 0.112 Nebraska 41.6 6.7 1.8 0.1 0.0314 Rutgers 17.3 1.5 0.1 0.02 0.001 This is tempo adjusted and looks at the entire season. I did the same thing using conference only records and the mean HC and standard deviation and got... Rd1 Qtrs Semis Final Champ1 Wisconsin 100 100 83.8 60.9 44.83 Michigan St. 100 100 53.4 34.7 13.95 Iowa 100 78.0 46.3 17.8 10.26 Ohio St. 100 74.5 38.9 26.0 11.02 Maryland 100 100 55.0 20.5 5.84 Purdue 100 100 47.1 14.3 6.97 Indiana 100 64.2 32.1 12.0 3.48 Illinois 100 58.7 10.8 4.2 1.711 Minnesota 80.3 23.9 7.6 3.5 0.89 Michigan 100 41.3 5.4 1.7 0.510 Northwestern 100 35.8 12.9 3.2 0.613 Penn St. 56.8 13.7 4.4 0.8 0.212 Nebraska 43,2 8.3 2.2 0.3 0.114 Rutgers 19.7 1.6 0.1 0.02 0.002 If you give me the average home margin, standard deviation and net points for all teams I could do the same thing for the Big XII. First games start on Wednesday so I bet kenpom has it all out tomorrow. No need, but thanks anyway :cheers: If they're not out by late tomorrow night I can get everything to you, but I bet it's done by tomorrow afternoon.I'm sure it will and that's a lot to ask for you to get. I'm just interested in how they compare. I'm also not sure whether you should use the STD from the mean home margin or from even. I'm pretty sure it's the former but the kenpom numbers are closer to the latter, and it makes a pretty significant difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Analog Cub Posted March 10, 2015 Author Share Posted March 10, 2015 (edited) kenpom still doesn't have the Big XII tourney odds out yet but here are the odds for the Big Ten to tide you over. Rd1 Qtrs Semis Final Champ1 Wisconsin 100 100 88.8 72.7 58.53 Michigan St. 100 100 55.0 34.5 11.15 Iowa 100 80.8 52.3 14.7 8.26 Ohio St. 100 72.7 36.7 23.2 7.52 Maryland 100 100 64.0 27.4 7.14 Purdue 100 100 41.8 7.8 3.27 Indiana 100 67.7 27.9 9.7 2.08 Illinois 100 63.4 8.3 3.4 1.311 Minnesota 82.7 25.8 8.1 3.6 0.79 Michigan 100 36.6 2.9 0.9 0.210 Northwestern 100 32.3 8.1 1.6 0.213 Penn St. 58.4 12.5 4.1 0.5 0.112 Nebraska 41.6 6.7 1.8 0.1 0.0314 Rutgers 17.3 1.5 0.1 0.02 0.001 This is tempo adjusted and looks at the entire season. I did the same thing using conference only records and the mean HC and standard deviation and got... Rd1 Qtrs Semis Final Champ1 Wisconsin 100 100 83.8 60.9 44.83 Michigan St. 100 100 53.4 34.7 13.95 Iowa 100 78.0 46.3 17.8 10.26 Ohio St. 100 74.5 38.9 26.0 11.02 Maryland 100 100 55.0 20.5 5.84 Purdue 100 100 47.1 14.3 6.97 Indiana 100 64.2 32.1 12.0 3.48 Illinois 100 58.7 10.8 4.2 1.711 Minnesota 80.3 23.9 7.6 3.5 0.89 Michigan 100 41.3 5.4 1.7 0.510 Northwestern 100 35.8 12.9 3.2 0.613 Penn St. 56.8 13.7 4.4 0.8 0.212 Nebraska 43,2 8.3 2.2 0.3 0.114 Rutgers 19.7 1.6 0.1 0.02 0.002 If you give me the average home margin, standard deviation and net points for all teams I could do the same thing for the Big XII. First games start on Wednesday so I bet kenpom has it all out tomorrow. No need, but thanks anyway :cheers: If they're not out by late tomorrow night I can get everything to you, but I bet it's done by tomorrow afternoon.I'm sure it will and that's a lot to ask for you to get. I'm just interested in how they compare. I'm also not sure whether you should use the STD from the mean home margin or from even. I'm pretty sure it's the former but the kenpom numbers are closer to the latter, and it makes a pretty significant difference. Which did you use for the number crunching you just did? And no, that shouldn't take more than a bit of time to get the information. But it's not that big a deal. Edited March 10, 2015 by BowlCity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laughedatbytime Posted March 10, 2015 Share Posted March 10, 2015 kenpom still doesn't have the Big XII tourney odds out yet but here are the odds for the Big Ten to tide you over. Rd1 Qtrs Semis Final Champ1 Wisconsin 100 100 88.8 72.7 58.53 Michigan St. 100 100 55.0 34.5 11.15 Iowa 100 80.8 52.3 14.7 8.26 Ohio St. 100 72.7 36.7 23.2 7.52 Maryland 100 100 64.0 27.4 7.14 Purdue 100 100 41.8 7.8 3.27 Indiana 100 67.7 27.9 9.7 2.08 Illinois 100 63.4 8.3 3.4 1.311 Minnesota 82.7 25.8 8.1 3.6 0.79 Michigan 100 36.6 2.9 0.9 0.210 Northwestern 100 32.3 8.1 1.6 0.213 Penn St. 58.4 12.5 4.1 0.5 0.112 Nebraska 41.6 6.7 1.8 0.1 0.0314 Rutgers 17.3 1.5 0.1 0.02 0.001 This is tempo adjusted and looks at the entire season. I did the same thing using conference only records and the mean HC and standard deviation and got... Rd1 Qtrs Semis Final Champ1 Wisconsin 100 100 83.8 60.9 44.83 Michigan St. 100 100 53.4 34.7 13.95 Iowa 100 78.0 46.3 17.8 10.26 Ohio St. 100 74.5 38.9 26.0 11.02 Maryland 100 100 55.0 20.5 5.84 Purdue 100 100 47.1 14.3 6.97 Indiana 100 64.2 32.1 12.0 3.48 Illinois 100 58.7 10.8 4.2 1.711 Minnesota 80.3 23.9 7.6 3.5 0.89 Michigan 100 41.3 5.4 1.7 0.510 Northwestern 100 35.8 12.9 3.2 0.613 Penn St. 56.8 13.7 4.4 0.8 0.212 Nebraska 43,2 8.3 2.2 0.3 0.114 Rutgers 19.7 1.6 0.1 0.02 0.002 If you give me the average home margin, standard deviation and net points for all teams I could do the same thing for the Big XII. First games start on Wednesday so I bet kenpom has it all out tomorrow. No need, but thanks anyway :cheers: If they're not out by late tomorrow night I can get everything to you, but I bet it's done by tomorrow afternoon.I'm sure it will and that's a lot to ask for you to get. I'm just interested in how they compare. I'm also not sure whether you should use the STD from the mean home margin or from even. I'm pretty sure it's the former but the kenpom numbers are closer to the latter, and it makes a pretty significant difference. Which did you use for the number crunching you just did?STD from average home margin, which was 12.22. Average STD from even was 7.34. HCA as 3.74 (I think, I'm going from memory). Of course, the Big XII is truer (and easier to calculate) because I believe you play home and homes with the entire conference, whereas the Big Ten has 5 home and homes and 8 one game only matchups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Analog Cub Posted March 10, 2015 Author Share Posted March 10, 2015 Don't have the kenpom numbers cause I'm not subscribed, but Bleacher Report's got its overall prediction. http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2390440-big-12-tournament-2015-bracket-seeds-odds-matchups-and-predictions Prediction is it goes down to Iowa State vs. Baylor for the second time and they're taking Baylor this time around. Let's hope they're wrong and the Cyclones repeat :madra: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laughedatbytime Posted March 10, 2015 Share Posted March 10, 2015 Don't have the kenpom numbers cause I'm not subscribed, but Bleacher Report's got its overall prediction. http://bleacherrepor...and-predictions Prediction is it goes down to Iowa State vs. Baylor for the second time and they're taking Baylor this time around. Let's hope they're wrong and the Cyclones repeat :madra:kenpom numbers (you don't have to subscribe)... Qtrs Semis Final Champ 1 Kansas 100 83.5 52.9 33.4 3 Oklahoma 100 67.9 38.3 18.7 4 Baylor 100 61.0 28.4 15.4 2 Iowa St. 100 61.1 32.0 14.6 7 Texas 86.1 37.4 17.2 6.8 5 West Virginia 100 39.0 14.3 6.2 6 Oklahoma St. 100 32.1 12.2 3.9 9 TCU 59.3 11.0 3.1 0.9 8 Kansas St. 40.7 5.5 1.2 0.310 Texas Tech 13.9 1.5 0.19 0.02 Die Longhorns... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Analog Cub Posted March 10, 2015 Author Share Posted March 10, 2015 Weird, website wasn't letting me look at anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Analog Cub Posted March 10, 2015 Author Share Posted March 10, 2015 As long as the Cyclones don't lag behind on defense we should do pretty well. I have no doubts all the games will be high scorers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laughedatbytime Posted March 10, 2015 Share Posted March 10, 2015 Try this... http://kenpom.com/blog/index.php/weblog/entry/big_12_log52 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Analog Cub Posted March 10, 2015 Author Share Posted March 10, 2015 That worked. For whatever reason the homepage doesn't let me through Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laughedatbytime Posted March 10, 2015 Share Posted March 10, 2015 That worked. For whatever reason the homepage doesn't let me through Probably too many visitors... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laughedatbytime Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 The color guy on ESPNU picked ISU to win the tourney. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laughedatbytime Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 TCU beats KSU 67-65..9 over 8. Go Red Raiders! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laughedatbytime Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 Horns won last night so ISU gets em next. Go Cyclones!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Analog Cub Posted March 12, 2015 Author Share Posted March 12, 2015 Horns won last night so ISU gets em next. Go Cyclones!!!! And nobody was surprised Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Analog Cub Posted March 12, 2015 Author Share Posted March 12, 2015 We're 2-0 against Texas and the larger lead was @ Texas. I'm not too worried, as long as our defensive play doesn't falter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
laughedatbytime Posted March 12, 2015 Share Posted March 12, 2015 We're 2-0 against Texas and the larger lead was @ Texas. I'm not too worried, as long as our defensive play doesn't falter.UT and you guys aren't too far apart in the kenpom ratings. Having not watched UT play my assumption is that they haven't necessarily been motivated and the parts are greater than their sum..and that Barnes isn't a great Xs and Os guy. So if they are playing for their tournament lives it may be tougher than the other regular season games. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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